Ian Machado Garry is a fast-rising prospect in the UFC. Neil Magny has become one of the most persistent gatekeepers in the welterweight division.
It's one of those matchups that just makes sense for both men. Magny was actually a late replacement for Geoff Neal who was originally supposed to fight Machado Garry, but Magny actually beat Neal in 2021 so this is an even better matchup.
Magny is 3-2 over his last five fights. Two of the wins have come by split decision in close fights against Max Griffin and Pilip Rowe. His lone dominant performance in that stretch was a submission win against Daniel Rodriguez.
The losses came against much better competition with Gilbert Burns and Shavkat Rakhmonov both submitting him.
Machado Garry hasn't proven he's on the level of either of those guys yet, but his striking is legit. He's won each of his last two fights by knockout, including a first-round TKO win over Rodriguez.
The point is that both fighters are on opposite trajectories. Machado Garry is ascending and continues to improve while Magny seems to have hit his ceiling. That should be obvious in the results.
Prediction: Machado Garry via second-round TKO
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